Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Stable Pakistan not in India’s interest

Indian Defence Review
Capt. Bharat Verma is the editor of Indian Defence Review. A quarterly journal read by leading policy makers at senior bureaucratic, political and military levels, the IDR is renowned as the "most-quoted Indian defence publication". Capt. Verma is also the founder and current editor of Lancer Publishers, a publishing house dedicated to defence and security matters.

Indians pose the biggest threat to the Union of India.

The reason is simple. An average Indian is merely an individual. His personal well-being overrides all other considerations, including national interests.

This is perhaps why many have begun to propagate parting of Kashmir in their write-ups, since it does not belong individually to them. However, imagine the hue and cry if their personal property and family is held hostage by the terrorists. They will sing a different tune.

The blame lies with New Delhi. For the past 60 years, instead of consolidating the Union, leaders encouraged divisiveness on the basis of religion and caste for sheer vote bank politics. Instead of unifying its citizenry with good governance and increasing their stakes through prosperity, so that they may serve the cause of the nation with honor, it has treated its citizens with unprecedented shabbiness.

The result: groups of citizens have risen against the state, mostly for lack of economic progress and denial of justice. Such disgruntled groups are being taken advantage of by the external forces inimical to India.

There can never be unity in diversity. Unity requires a fair amount of uniformity in laws throughout the Union.

That New Delhi is its own worst enemy became obvious when it permitted the creation of a pure Islamic State on its borders. This nation-state contradicts every democratic and multi-cultural value dear to India. Therefore, if New Delhi has not slept a wink since the creation of Pakistan, it has no one except itself to blame!

Islamabad, besides the wars it imposed on New Delhi, extended its so-called Islamic purity to the Kashmir Valley by instigating the locals to carry out ethnic cleansing of the minority communities.

Hence, first we created a state with inbuilt characteristic of fundamentalism and extreme philosophy contrary to our professed beliefs; then the monster in it started ethnic cleansing in the Valley; and engineered demographic changes through Bangladesh in West Bengal, Assam and the Northeast.

Saudi Arabia and other Islamic oil-rich countries pitched in with the petro-dollars in support, all in the cause of the illusion called Ummah and the establishment of the Caliphate.

The Indian leadership, for its personal vote-bank gains, helped these inimical forces by invoking the Illegal Migrants (determination by Tribunals) or IMDT Act in Assam, which was subsequently shot down by the Supreme Court. The damage was done, as the Union’s overburdened security forces grapple with 15 million illegal Bangladesh infiltrators creating mayhem on Indian soil.

Islamabad, Dhaka, and now Kathmandu, spurred on by Beijing, have united with the singular agenda: to unhook the Valley and the Northeast from the Indian Union.

In addition, they are instigating the Maoists, who control almost 40 n per cent of the Union’s territory, to set up a parallel government, and ultimately, like the Maoists in Nepal, win the elections in pockets of their influence, and impose a regressive authoritarian governments in tune with their own regime.

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And yet, New Delhi, instead of consolidating and unifying the Union , continues to divide its citizenry in religious or caste denominations.

Over the past 60 years, New Delhi’s muddle-headed policies actually encouraged separatism. Instead of ensuring diffusion of secular pan-Indian culture and the integration of the society by encouraging Indians from all over to buy and develop land and industry in the Valley and the Northeast, it imposed restrictions on such settlements.

Meanwhile, Pakistan and Bangladesh exported their fundamentalist population to these areas to change the demographic hues in their favour. The ugly separatist face of the agitation in the Valley today is the consequence of the dereliction of the fundamental duty by the Union.

The trend needs to be reversed forcibly by integrating the Valley firmly into the Indian mainstream by creating a secular mix of population through industrialisation.

Many conveniently propose the myth that a stable Pakistan is in India’s favour. This is a false proposition. The truth is that Pakistan is bad news for the Indian Union since 1947–stable or otherwise.

Islamabad has enjoyed brief periods of political stability since the birth of Pakistan. But even during these interludes, it continued to export terrorism, fake currency and narcotics to India. It continued its attempts to change the demography along our borders, and cultivated sleeper cells and armed groups inside our territory to create an uprising at an appropriate time.

Also, it aligned with Beijing and other powers, in a mutually beneficial scheme, to tie-down and ultimately cause a territorial split of the Union.

With Pakistan on the brink of collapse due to massive internal as well as international contradictions, it is matter of time before it ceases to exist.
Multiple benefits will accrue to the Union of India on such demise.

If Indian national interests are defined with clarity and prioritised, the foremost threat to the Union (and for centuries before its birth) has consistently and continuously materialised on the western periphery.

To defend this key threat to the Union, New Delhi should extend its influence through export of both soft and hard power towards Central Asia, from where invasions have been mounted over centuries. The cessation of Pakistan as a state facilitates furtherance of this pivotal national objective.

The self-destructive path that Islamabad chose will either splinter the state into many parts or it will wither away—a case of natural progression to its logical conclusion. In either case Baluchistan will achieve independence.

For New Delhi this opens a window of opportunity to ensure that the Gwadar port does not fall into the hands of the Chinese. In this, there is synergy between the political objectives of the Americans and the Indians. Our existing goodwill in Baluchistan requires intelligent leveraging.

Sindh and most of the non-Punjabi areas of Pakistan will be our new friends.

Pakistan’s breakup will be a major setback to the Jihad Factory, which functions with the help of its army and the ISI. This in turn will ease pressures on India and the international community.

With China’s one arm, i.e. Pakistan disabled, its expansionist plans will receive a severe jolt. Beijing continues to pose another primary threat to New Delhi. Even as we continue to engage with it as constructively as possible, we must strive to remove the proxy.

At the same time, it is prudent to extend moral support to the people of Tibet to sink Chinese expansionism in the morass of insurgency. For a change, let us do to them what they do to us.

With Pakistan gone, the chances of Central Asia getting infected with the Jihadi fervour will recede. Afghanistan will gain fair amount of stability. India’s access to Central Asian energy routes will open up.

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With disintegration of ISI’s inimical activities of infiltration and pushing of fake currency into India, from Nepal and Bangladesh will cease. Within the Union social harmony will improve enormously. Export of Islamic fundamentalism, with its 360-degree sweep from Islamabad, will vanish. Even a country like Thailand will heave a sigh of relief.

Above all, the gathering threat from a united group of authoritarian regimes along our 14,000 km borders, orchestrated and synchronised by Pakistan, will dissolve.

At the height of the recent disturbances in the Valley, when a general asked me for a suggestion to resolve the issue, I said: “ Remove Pakistan. The threat will disappear permanently.” Today the collapse of Pakistan as a state is almost certain. All the King’s men cannot save it from itself.

Looking ahead, New Delhi should formulate an appropriate strategy for ‘post-Pakistan scenario’ to secure India’s interests in Central Asia.

It is intriguing, therefore, to hear New Delhi mouthing the falsehood that stable Pakistan is in India’s favour. Perpetuation of such illogic for vote-bank politics is harming the consolidation and integration of the Union.

Short-sighted politicians as usual are overlooking the national interest for the short-term personal gains of a few votes.

The writer is Editor, Indian Defence Review. bharat.verma@indiandefencereview.com


pavocavalry said...

i know this character verma, in the past i got many books from his publishing house lancer :--

1-the man and his organisation bharat rakshak cannot tolerate any difference of opinion...all diehard RSS guys.
3-About Balochistan poor verma does not know much.the chinese are in force in gwadar and they will occupy two things if anything happens to pakistan (1) The Northern Areas and Baltistan (2) GWADAR PORT , the port will never be part of any independent balochistan (3) possibly even ormara will be occupied by china

4)balochistan if independent will b US dominated ..the USA will not let the indians come near balochistan

pavocavalry said...

already china has fired the first shot because china knows that usa is using india and afghanistan as bases against china..thus chinese opposition to US India agreement

Zeemax said...

This does appear to be the mindset of most, if not all Indians. I wonder if it's that of the strategic planners as well?

Likely, because the Indian involvement in Baluchistan is admitted by a Defense Journalist and ex-Army man of India.

Comments of Pavo and Majumdar are sought.

Zeemax said...

Ok Thanks Pavo, I just saw you've already commented. But Mr. Verma does appear to be a respected Defense Journalist in the Indian policy making circles as stated in article header.

Perhaps Majumdar will clarify.

Majumdar said...

Zee/Amin sahibs,

To tell you the truth my knowledge about strategic affairs is pretty limited and I have rarely been to bharat rakshak et al. The best strategic writers to me appear to be K Subramanyan, C Uday Bhaskar and B Raman.

I would think that Indian agents are definitely involved in B'stan.

By the way I do not share your pessimism about Pakistan, I dont think B'stan is breaking away so the question of a scramble for Gwadar does not arise.

As far as whether a strong Pak is good or balkanised Pak is good for India, perosnally I dont think the Indians have worked it out as well. But I do agree with Mr. Verma that demographic invasion of Bengal, Assam and NE by Bangladesh is a far more serious threat than the jihad in Kashmir.


PS: Btw, I am a right wing Hindoo myself, I hope that will not bias you against me.

pavocavalry said...




[PDF] Appraising the Threat of Islamist Take-Over in PakistanFile Format: PDF/Adobe Acrobat - View as HTML
According to A.H. Amin, there are built-in. safety measures against a coup, .... B. Raman, “Pakistan: The Mullas’ Blue Eyed General.” South Asia Analysis ...
www.er.uqam.ca/nobel/ieim//IMG/pdf/NOTE34.pdf - Similar pages



pavocavalry said...


cliftonbridge said...

Could someone tell me why there is so much talk of baluch seperatists on the net? there isnt much coverage to this movement in Pakistani press from what i can tell, i am a little confused.

Zeemax said...


It's a small group of separatists called Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) led by some members of the Marri tribe, and doesn't have much following in Baluchistan. They carry out acts of subversion e.g. blowing up gas pipelines and railway tracks. BLA is said to be sponsored by India and I remember their leader Balach Marri (who was killed recently under unknown circumstances in Afghanistan) clearly admitting they accept India's 'help' (training, funds, arms etc). You can find his interviews on YouTube.

It is not considered a serious threat in Pakistan, but I guess Pakistan's ill-wishers play it up on the net.

Pavo may correct or add here.

cliftonbridge said...

Zee - thanks for confirming what i thought. I hope Pavo thinks the same way.