tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post6729009509403334481..comments2023-11-02T15:31:41.417+06:00Comments on Contrarian Comment: IDEAS EXPRESSED ABOUT FUTURE IN OCTOBER 2007Zeemaxhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06569356440176591602noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-64426556546348427232008-09-05T15:36:00.000+06:002008-09-05T15:36:00.000+06:00Thanks. Much of what you had foreseen has come tru...Thanks. Much of what you had foreseen has come true. <br><br>My only disagreement is with #9. I think Lawyer's movement is genuine, and supported by a fed-up Civil Society, though it is now defeated.<br><br>But your conclusion startled me. I didn't know that the Bolsheviks were just 10,000. But then again, the 20/80 corporate principle applies everywhere. 20% of people get 80% of the results.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-36344400169698321972008-09-06T09:20:00.000+06:002008-09-06T09:20:00.000+06:00thanks for reading and commenting sirthanks for reading and commenting sirAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-76350145806380630542008-09-09T14:37:00.000+06:002008-09-09T14:37:00.000+06:00Amin sahib,10 Million USD per month are sufficient...Amin sahib,<br><br><i>10 Million USD per month are sufficient to keep the US Army bleeding in Iraq and Afghanistan for 200 years.</i><br><br>Should be music in the ears of China and Russia.<br><br><i>good Hayata type</i><br><br>Pardon my ignorance but who is a Hayata type person?<br><br>RegardsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-67197791207802025392008-09-09T14:39:00.000+06:002008-09-09T14:39:00.000+06:00Amin sahib,But remember the Bolsheviks with just a...Amin sahib,<br><br><i>But remember the Bolsheviks with just a hard core of 10,000 captured power in Russia.</i><br><br>The real danger of course is that USA may before abandoning its stooges in Pak Army would remove the N-arsenal before decamping which would leave Pakistan vulnerable to external as well as internal shocks.<br><br>RegardsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-984214970229777172008-09-09T14:46:00.000+06:002008-09-09T14:46:00.000+06:00by hayata i meant ahmad hayat of wah , orderly off...by hayata i meant ahmad hayat of wah , orderly officer of brig gen nicholson at delhi....a good mercenary general and these are in plenty in barani areas of punjab and khattaks yusufzais kakars in pashtunsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-65527929489540041752008-09-09T14:49:00.000+06:002008-09-09T14:49:00.000+06:00i think that if US destroys one pakistani city , p...i think that if US destroys one pakistani city , pakistani leadership would surrender all weapons and some US guarantee also that india will not attack pakistan....all these are realities likely in next 5 to 10 years....the good thing is now russia and china has entered the arena...after all the americans are active in chinese sinkiang from afghanstan and even pakistani northern areas...this i had predicted many years earlier....its logicalAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-76202658089439070932008-09-09T15:25:00.000+06:002008-09-09T15:25:00.000+06:00Amin sahib,What exactly does USA want to do in NWF...Amin sahib,<br><br>What exactly does USA want to do in NWFP-Afghanistan region. What are its objectives and what are the possible pay-offs?<br><br><i>the good thing is now russia and china has entered the arena</i><br><br>Good from whose POV, if you can clarify, sir!<br><br>RegardsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-45120580673023525372008-09-09T15:40:00.000+06:002008-09-09T15:40:00.000+06:00What exactly does USA want to do in NWFP-Afghanist...What exactly does USA want to do in NWFP-Afghanistan region. What are its objectives and what are the possible pay-offs?<br><br>US AIMS AS I ASSESS ARE STRATEGIC......CHINA , IRAN,PAKISTAN......DOMINATION ....... already there is a full fledged insurgency in Singkiang....in pakistan the aim i to use the punjabi army against pashtuns.....divide paskistan.....put the pashtuns under one state so that the USA has no problem in crossing borders<br><br>the good thing is now russia and china has entered the arena<br><br>ITS GOOD FOR ALL INCLUDING PAKISTAN INDIA CHINA....ALREADY THERE IS EVIDENCE THAT RUSSIA IS SUPPORTING PROXIES<br><br>Good from whose POV, if you can clarify, sir!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-90110461717029229722008-09-09T15:42:00.000+06:002008-09-09T15:42:00.000+06:00DENUCLEARIN PAKISTAN IS A LONG TERM US AIM SINCE M...DENUCLEARIN PAKISTAN IS A LONG TERM US AIM SINCE MANY YEARS...STEPWISE IT IS :--<br><br>1-SINCE CENTRE OF GRAVITY OR ONE OF THESE IN SHAPE OF NON STATE ACTORS IS PAKISTAN.<br><br>2-FIRST STEP---DENUCLEARISE SO THAT USA CAN ATTACK AT WILL<br><br>3-THIRD STEP----BALKANISE<br><br>4-FOURTH STEP----USE INDIA AGAINST CHINA AS AFGHANISTAN BASE IS NOW BEING USED AGAINST PAKISTAN,RUSSIA,CHINA,IRANAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-75115326024219008252008-09-09T15:54:00.000+06:002008-09-09T15:54:00.000+06:0016 Nov 2003AGE OF STRATEGIC ANARCHYA.H AminWhile h...16 Nov 2003<br><br>AGE OF STRATEGIC ANARCHY<br><br>A.H Amin<br><br>While human history has continously oscillated between order and disorder , peace and war , the post 9/11 may be said to represent the watershed between the age of strategic stability which started from 1945 and a transition to a many decade ,perhaps century long period of strategic anarchy !<br><br>War as a sublime activity has witnessed a stark transition from rationality to madness from9/11 ! The Nero at the apex of the whole exercise is Emperor Bush the Second who more than any Al Qaeda terrorist , has made this world , a far more dangerous place for USA , primarily because of lack of knowledge and a myopic worldview which is based on a very narrow perception of history and human civilisation ! Alas Bush is a teetotaller and does not have that coup d oeil which distinguished great warlords like Winston Churchill reinforced by many pints of finest beverages of Scotland ! Here we have a scenario of a warlord , who has naieve strategic perception and is manipulated by cheap consumerist aides motivated by business interests or narrow beliefs in Christian resurgence or Zionist supremacy ! Thus the age of strategic uncertainty and anarchy !<br><br>If Field Marshal Foch's ideas on strategy are to be applied here , all anti American forces , have a grandstrategic opportunity to humble USA at a nominal cost in the entire region between Casablanca in the West till Sakhalin in the East, with additional reinforcement from sabotage missions launched in theentire tract from Los Angeles till United Kingdom ! American interests and American installations are located in such a widespread area that USA with its entire might cannot defend all of its many assets at all times ! Thus the truth in the adage that he who defends everything defends nothing ! Foch's two cardinal principles of strategy applied wisely in this scenario i.e " Economy of Force" and " Denial of freedom of manoeuvre to the enemy" can easily bring USA to a long term strategic grief ! Already some results are evident in many Quixotic Blackhawks reduced to molten metal in the entire deathland between Tikrit and Karbala !<br><br>The age of strategic anarchy may thus unfold in the following stages or phases ; i.e (1)Initial attrition of US forces in Iraq,Afghanistan and Korea (2) A period of spilling out of the conflict into new theatres by the USA in search of a centre of gravity like Iran,Syria ,Pakistan,Saudi Arabia.Something like Napoleons attack on Russia or Hitlers Case Blue which envisaged a dualoffensive towards Stalingrad and the Caucasian Oilfields (3) A period of intense attrition in the new theatres chosen by USA (4) a period of USA's exhaustion , something close to Clausewitz's concept of culmination point of a great power and begining of decline of the New Christian Roman Empire of USA (5) A period of exploitation of USA's exhaustion by other major players like Russia,China ,EU etc !<br><br>Initial attrition may last from 1 to five years ! Possibly Bush's successor Democratic or Republican may be unable to initiate a policy of disengagement ! The USA is in position of a man holding a wolf by the ears ! It may be difficult to kill this wolf , but it is fatal to leave it ! All that the anti US forces ,open or covert need to do it is to assist the wolf ,create new breeding areas for the wolves , increase their birth rate !<br><br>In the second phase of spilling out USA has to suffer greater losses both material and moral ! Greater casualties ! An attack on Iran via Pakistani Baluchistan or via Azerbaijan or via the cosatal Persian Gulf ! A Possible denuclearisation of Pakistan ! A crusade against Syria with an American general walking haughtily till the masoulem of Salahuddin Ayubi in his boots and telling the sleeping Lion of Islam like earlier French generals who occupied Syria after 1918; Salahuddin I have come back to avenge the defeat of Crusaders !<br><br><br><br>Intense attrition wouldtake place in the next third phase , with either USA destroying all its enemies or arriving at its culmination point ! A start of a period of decline , the ebb of the tide that started gaining strength from WW 1 !<br><br>The fourth phase would be either USA's victory , perhaps a Pyhrric one or an ignominous withdrawal ! The Barbarians as theUSA perceives its Islamic enemies wouldthen regroup and counter attack !<br><br>The fifth phase would be open exploitation of USA's exhaustion by China and Russia hopefully with a more resolute leader who drinks a lot of Vodka and has zeal and the killer instinct of a Peter the Great or Stalin !<br><br>The wholeprocess of these fivestages may vary from anything between 5 years to 100 years ! The stakes are high , the battle field vaster than any other battlefield in human history and the shades too many for the strategists eyeto perceive or comprehend !<br><br>The present third world war which started with 9/11 has no centreof gravity,no fixed battlle lines , it is hundred dimensional,no rules , no morality ,no boundaries and no tangible end in sight !<br><br>One thing is clear ! USA's cheap consumerist society has a great deal of military muscle but a pathetic strategic vision ! We salute the new age of Strategic anarchy !Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-25823674000574275452008-09-09T16:06:00.000+06:002008-09-09T16:06:00.000+06:00Amin sahib,What does USA gain by denuking Pakistan...Amin sahib,<br><br>What does USA gain by denuking Pakistan? Is it that it does not want to see a nuclear armed Muslim state on the fear that it will be an Islamic bomb in the hands of some oil rich ME state? Or is there something that I am missing?<br><br>Regarding its China plans. Sure both China and India are engaged in battling insurgency (X/J&K) but both countries being populous are rather callous towards loss of life unlike the Yanks. They can keep battling insurgency for decades without batting an eyelid. But Yanks are getting bogged down and spending atrocious sums of money, no? <br><br>Pak gameplan: What if Pak chooses to play possum. Simply roll over play dead and say to US "OK invade FATA, if you want to and if you dare". Wouldnt that kind of call US's bluff?<br><br>RegardsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4921692378523167792.post-5491107880059810572008-09-10T13:18:00.000+06:002008-09-10T13:18:00.000+06:00ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE IS POLITICS ,the underlying n...ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE IS POLITICS ,the underlying not expressed position in pakistan is a seraiki speaking PM (seraikis are not punjabis) a sindhi speaking baloch president and a punjabi chief...the punjabis being the majority do not like this.....the army is now a controversial party since its percieved in pashtun areas as anti pashtun.....traditionally the mughals alienated pashtuns and they lost against marathas...now the punjabis are alienating pashtuns their juniour partners...this is not acceptable if pakistan has to stay in one piece...the americans are strategically barrenAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com